Predictions · Geopolitics & Elections
What moves markets next: leaders' speeches, central bank calls, tariffs, and the forecasts that follow.
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Latest in Geopolitics & Elections
NEWSWorld Bank projects 4.2% Pakistan growth, urges flexible rupee
The World Bank forecasts 4.2% growth in fiscal year 2027-28 and 4.4% in the 2029 election year, warning that a managed exchange rate invites disruptive adjustments.
NEWSIMF forecasts 1.3% contraction in Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan
The IMF expects output across the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan to shrink 1.3% this year on war-related energy and shipping disruption, before rebounding to 6.6% growth in 2027.
MARKETSAsian stocks slip as tech earnings offset Gulf and Fed uncertainty
MSCI's Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 0.2% and US futures eased as investors weighed mixed AI spending signals against Gulf tensions and an upcoming Fed decision.
POLICY & REGULATIONAurangzeb says Gulf energy attacks worrying for Pakistan's outlook
Pakistan's finance minister says the country has weathered the energy price shock from the Iran war so far, but attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure are worrying for its longer-term outlook.
MARKETSPSX: stocks surge, KSE-100 up 600 points in early trade
Benchmark index up 0.36% at 168,043.33 in early trade after US President Donald Trump said the US will not launch an attack on Iran before November's midterm elections. Thursday's session closed 1,138.50 points lower.
MARKETSIndian rupee firms as central bank intervenes and oil prices retreat
The rupee rose 0.2% to 96.61 per dollar, with traders saying the central bank likely intervened near 96.80. Brent fell about 1.5% after Donald Trump said he would not attack Iran before US elections.
POLICY & REGULATIONPakistan's finance update shows mixed picture as economists dispute debt claims
The Finance Division's September Update and Outlook credits IMF-led reforms for a narrower current account deficit, but independent economists dispute its debt and tax claims as Middle East conflict drives inflation.


